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These predictions are made by Clayton Davis, senior awards editor at Variety, who is responsible for evaluating and predicting the outcomes of these events.
you are watching: Oscars Predictions: Best Film Editing – ‘Killers of the Flower Moon’ and ‘Oppenheimer’ Lead the Pack With Legendary Female Editors
The prediction pages do not reflect the personal opinions of any candidate and are based on current standings in the race. This means that they do not depend on anyone’s personal preferences or personal opinions. The information on the prediction pages is updated every Thursday to ensure accuracy and reflect changes in the competition, based on rumors and current events.
Predictions for the 2024 Oscar for Best Achievement in Film Editing are emerging as a promising race. Currently, two female editors are at the forefront of this race in films longer than three hours.
Jennifer Lame, a name who has never been nominated despite cutting two films nominated for Best Picture – “Marriage Story” (2019) and “Manchester by Sea” (2016), is being strongly considered for the nomination. His first nomination was for the film “Oppenheimer” directed by Christopher Nolan.
Her opponent is Thelma Schoonmaker, a longtime collaborator of Martin Scorsese who has won the most awards in the category’s history with three, with notable achievements in films such as “Raging Bull ” (1980), “The Aviator” (2004) and “The Departed” (2006). She is facing a difficult task when it comes to editing a film as challenging as Christopher Nolan’s “Killers of the Flower Moon.”
If either of these two women win the race, they will become the first to top this category since Margaret Sixel with “Mad Max: Fury Road” (2016).
However, having a feature length for your film does not guarantee that the Academy will automatically consider your name. This may apply to Greta Gerwig’s “Barbie,” edited by Emmy winner Nick Houy, who worked with Gerwig on previous films like “Lady Bird” and “Little Women.” However, this opportunity has been missed twice before, and this year’s race has strong competition.
We also know that studios are pushing hard to get their animated films recognized in this race, especially GKids’ “The Boy and the Heron” and “Spider-Man: Across the Spider -Verse” from Sony Pictures, this movie has the potential to impress.
Continue following Variety’s latest Oscar predictions for updates on all award categories. The filing deadline for the general categories is November 18, 2023, and primary voting will begin on December 18. Official results will be announced on December 21, and nominations will be announced on December 18. The official nomination will be announced on January 23, 2024. The 96th Academy Awards will take place on Sunday, March 10.
***The list below is not final and will be updated throughout the awards season.
AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
- “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures) — Jennifer Lame
- “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) — Thelma Schoonmaker
- “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures) — Yorgos Mavropsaridis
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — Nick Houy
- “American Fiction” (MGM) — Hilda Rasula
NEXT IN LINE
- “The Holdovers” (Focus Features) — Kevin Tent
- “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures) — Michael Andrews
- “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios) — William Goldenberg
- “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) — Jon Poll
- “The Creator” (20th Century Studios) — Hank Corwin, Joe Walker, Scott Morris
OTHER TOP-TIER POSSIBILITIES
- “Origin” (Neon) — Spencer Averick
- “Maestro” (Netflix) — Michelle Tesoro
- “The Zone of Interest” (A24) — Paul Watts
- “The Bikeriders” (20th Century Studios) — Julie Monroe
- “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures) — Claire Simpson, Sam Restivo
- “Ferrari” (Neon) — Pietro Scalia
- “Creed III” (MGM) — Tyler Nelson, Jessica Baclesse
- “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures) — Kirk Baxter
- “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) — Laurent Sénéchal
- “BlackBerry” (IFC Films) — Curt Lobb
ALSO IN CONTENTION
- “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Victoria Boydell
- “The Iron Claw” (A24) — Matthew Hannam
- “May December” (Netflix) — Affonso Gonçalves
- “The Killer” (Netflix) — Kirk Baxter
- “Rustin” (Netflix) — Andrew Mondshein
- “Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.) — Craig Alpert
- “Priscilla” (A24) — Sarah Flack
- “John Wick Chapter 4” (Lionsgate) — Nathan Orloff
- “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” (Lionsgate) — Nick Moore, Oona Flaherty
- “Fair Play” (Netflix) — Franklin Peterson
ALL ELIGIBLE TITLES (ALPHABETIZED BY STUDIO)**
- “The Creator” (20th Century Studios) — Hank Corwin, Joe Walker, Scott Morris
- “A Haunting in Venice” (20th Century Studios) — Lucy Donaldson
- “The Bikeriders” (20th Century Studios) — Julie Monroe
- “Beau is Afraid” (A24) — Lucian Johnston
- “Dream Scenario” (A24) — Kristoffer Borgli
- “The Iron Claw” (A24) — Matthew Hannam
- “Past Lives” (A24) — Keith Fraase
- “Priscilla” (A24) — Sarah Flack
- “You Hurt My Feelings” (A24) — Alisa Lepselter
- “The Zone of Interest” (A24) — Paul Watts
- “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios) — William Goldenberg
- “Foe” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Peter Sciberras
- “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Victoria Boydell
- “Fingernails” (Apple Original Films) — Yorgos Zafeiris
- “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films) — Stephen O’Connell
- “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) — Thelma Schoonmaker
- “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures) — Claire Simpson, Sam Restivo
- “Golda” (Bleecker Street) — Arik Lahav-Leibovich
- “Asteroid City” (Focus Features) — Barney Pilling
- “The Holdovers” (Focus Features) — Kevin Tent
- “The Boy and the Heron” (GKids) — Takeshi Seyama
- “BlackBerry” (IFC Films) — Curt Lobb
- “Monica” (IFC Films) — Paola Freddi
- “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio) — Mario Battistel
- “Evil Does Not Exist” (Janus Films) — Ryûsuke Hamaguchi
- “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” (Lionsgate) — Nick Moore, Oona Flaherty
- “The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes” (Lionsgate) — Mark Yoshikawa
- “John Wick Chapter 4” (Lionsgate) — Nathan Orloff
- “The Marvels” (Marvel Studios) — Catrin Hedström, Evan Schiff
- “The Boys in the Boat” (MGM) — Tanya M. Swerling
- “Creed III” (MGM) — Tyler Nelson, Jessica Baclesse
- “American Fiction” (MGM) — Hilda Rasula
- “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) — Laurent Sénéchal
- “Eileen” (Neon) — Nick Emerson
- “Ferrari” (Neon) — Pietro Scalia
- “How to Blow Up a Pipeline” (Neon) — Daniel Garber
- “Origin” (Neon) — Spencer Averick
- “Fair Play” (Netflix) — Franklin Peterson
- “The Killer” (Netflix) — Kirk Baxter
- “Leave the World Behind” (Netflix) — Emma Rose Nardi
- “May December” (Netflix) — Affonso Gonçalves
- “Maestro” (Netflix) — Michelle Tesoro
- “Nyad” (Netflix) — Christopher Tellefsen
- “Rebel Moon” (Netflix) — Dody Dorn
- “Rustin” (Netflix) — Andrew Mondshein
- “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Pictures) — Pamela Martin **
- “Elemental” (Pixar) — Stephen Schaffer
- “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures) — Jonathan Alberts
- “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures) — Yorgos Mavropsaridis
- “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures) — Kirk Baxter
- “The Equalizer 3” (Sony Pictures) — Conrad Buff
- “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures) — Michael Andrews
- “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Pictures Classics) — To be announced
- “The Persian Version” (Sony Pictures Classics) — Abolfazl Talooni, JoAnne Yarrow
- “The Teachers’ Lounge” (Sony Pictures Classics) — Gesa Jäger
- “M3gan” (Universal Pictures) — Jeff McEvoy
- “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures) — Jennifer Lame
- “She Came to Me” (Vertical Entertainment) — Sabine Hoffman
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — Nick Houy
- “Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.) — Craig Alpert
- “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) — Jon Poll
- “Wonka” (Warner Bros.) — Mark Everson
- “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — Wyatt Smith
OSCARS PREDICTIONS CATEGORIES
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
ABOUT THE ACADEMY AWARDS
The Academy Awards, more commonly referred to as the Oscars, stand as the most esteemed recognition in the film industry of Hollywood. Since its inception in 1927, the nominees and winners have been chosen by the esteemed members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). This organization comprises nearly 10,000 members, representing seventeen different branches. These branches encompass actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary filmmakers, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations experts, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), musicians, producers, production designers, individuals in charge of short films and feature animations, sound experts, visual effects specialists, and writers
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Category: Film